Is the AGW theory 100%, 90%, 80%, etc. correct?
How much would you wager on it? Your retirement, Children%26#039;s educations, etc. Saying that global cooling was a consensus in the 1975 is not true.. Report Abuse Of course not, but birdog and his fellow deniers have no interest in what%26#039;s true. Report Abuse Show me evidence of AGW and I will review my position, the IPCC havent found it yet so good luck! Report Abuse Says the denier who cites a right-wing think tank as his only source.
Maybe if you examine some real science you%26#039;ll find some evidence, ostrich boy. Report Abuse
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Other Answers (19)
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Of course it%26#039;s possible. It%26#039;s also possible that the universe will collapse tomorrow. Anything is possible.
The question is how likely is it that virtually all climate scientists are wrong about their conclusions regarding the causes of climate change. Not bloody likely.
How much I would wager depends on what we%26#039;re wagering on. If we%26#039;re betting on whether the consensus that humans are the primary cause of the warming over the past 30 years is right, I%26#039;d bet pretty much everything I have on it. That%26#039;s how sound the science is. As for the wager that the results will be catastrophic if we continue in a business-as-usual dependence on fossil fuels and CO2 emissions scenario, I%26#039;d bet a whole lot on that too.
There are other recent examples. Here are a few:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_...
N wrote
%26quot;I would also be extremely surprised to see very fast major changes in global temperatures and climate pattern (not seen since the end of the last ice age) corresponding on the timescale to our industrial revolution would be a pure coincidence. %26quot;
Any evidence for this? No, because it isn%26#039;t true. The rate of warming in the past 100 years is not unprecedented in our interglacial.
%26quot;Is it possible that respected scientific organizations may be wrong about AGW?%26quot;
It is possible, but why take that chance? Sure there are many uncertainties in our climate system, but the scientists studying it say we need to do something. Do all of the scientists agree completely? No. Do I agree with AGW theory 100%? Not even close, but we need to heed the thousands of scientists who are telling us that we need to act.
Just read some of it and you%26#039;ll get the idea that most scientist have already moved on. I knew about 25-30 back in the 180s working on the ecology and economics part of this. They Got bored and switched to other stuff 10 years ago feeling enough of the question was answered to make a rational decision. Most are working on water or air pollution issues, urban sprawl, decision support systems, Malaria, risk assessments, homeland security stuff. Some have retired.
%26quot;May 19, 2008: The National Academies have released the 2008 edition of %26quot;Understanding and Responding to Climate Change,%26quot; a free booklet designed to give the public a comprehensive and easy-to-read analysis of findings and recommendations from our reports on climate change.%26quot;
http://dels.nas.edu/dels/rpt_briefs/clim... %26lt;== here%26#039;s a good description.
http://www.funnyweather.org/ %26lt;== this is a more lighthearted link.
http://lwf.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/glob...
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/globalwar...
http://www.exploratorium.edu/climate/ %26lt;== not regulated by the government.
http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cn...
http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cn...
http://www.international.ucla.edu/articl...
http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2007/clima...
http://www.nasa.gov/worldbook/global_war...
http://www.nasa.gov/centers/goddard/news...
%26lt;%26lt;%26quot;Barring a large volcanic eruption, a record global temperature clearly exceeding that of 2005 can be expected within the next few years, at the time of the next El Nino, because of the background warming trend attributable to continuing increases of greenhouse gases.%26quot; The eight warmest years in the GISS record have all occurred since 1998, and the 14 warmest years in the record have all occurred since 1990.%26gt;%26gt;
http://yosemite.epa.gov/OAR/globalwarmin...
http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/...
http://royalsociety.org/downloaddoc.asp?... %26lt;== thanks Richard. very good. -
Sure. It%26#039;s somewhere between 1 and 5%.
Want to bet your future well being on a 20:1 longshot? World leaders are not about to do that.
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Answer hidden due to its low rating
Well...... the %26#039;Earth is Flat%26#039; believers are the ancestors of today%26#039;s AGW believers (aka... %26#039;Warmers%26#039;). So.... Yes .... %26#039;scientific%26#039; organizations may be wrong about AGW.
Edit 1: Concerned Citizen, I don%26#039;t have a problem with being environmentally responsible insofar as water and air pollution... conserving energy....etc. What I DO have a problem with is the ramming down our throats of the %26#039;man-did-it%26#039; global warming cause. There is no hard, incontrovertible evidence supporting it, yet we.... the taxpayers.... are compelled to have $$Billions of our money going towards so-called clean energy..... like corn ethanol.... which as everyone now knows..... is worse than regular gasoline.
Insofar as my take on flat-earthers, it was not the conservative who held the flat-earth view..... it was the power-hungry who wanted to maintain the false notion of Earth%26#039;s geography. We now have the power-hungry wanting to force and maintain the false (unproven) notion of AGW on us. I%26#039;ll have no part of it!
